As we get to the end of the 2024 it’s a great time to reflect on the past year and what really happened in real estate in 2024 vs. 2023 (January through November) Here’s my analysis based on data from The MLS.
Prime Los Angeles Market Overview
While no one is going to tell you that 2024 was a good year for real estate, the Prime Los Angeles real estate market did show some signs of improvement compared to 2023. Inventory rose by almost 14%, and the number of homes in escrow and closed sales increased year over year but on average sales prices dipped slightly by 3%.
Higher interest rates were a significant factor in these mixed price trends, as they softened the rapid price increases we saw between 2020 and 2022. Another influence was Measure ULA, also known as the “Mansion Tax,” which particularly impacted higher-end sales in neighborhoods like Pacific Palisades and Brentwood.
Beverly Hills stood out with a significantly stronger performance this year, bucking the trend of challenges in other high-end markets mainly because Measure ULA does not apply to that area.
What Does This Mean for Buyers, Sellers, and Investors?
The 2024 Los Angeles real estate market reflects the fact that the brakes have finally been applied to rising prices. Higher interest rates, tax policies like Measure ULA have created challenges for some neighborhoods, particularly in the high-end market. The fact that people really can’t afford to trade in their 2 % interest rates for ones that are close to 7% has created a stagnant market that is, in reality, down in quantity by 30%. Add to that the fact that many “entertainment industry’ people aren’t working in what was an industry town. The only people really moving in LA are the ones who absolutely have to.
For buyers, increased inventory in certain areas may provide more options. Sellers are only just starting to be realistic about the shifts in pricing and demand, especially in neighborhoods experiencing price declines. Investors should look for opportunities in improving markets like Beverly Hills and Hollywood Hills West, if they can find them. Many deals are now happening off market and at high prices in places like the flats.
If you are wondering when is a good time to buy, I would say now. There are tons of ‘opportunities’ which is listing realtor language for fixers and many sellers have been patiently waiting to find that perfect buyer with no luck. But what it really means for buyers is if the home has been on the market for a while, submit a much lower offer than you might normally do because no seller wants to be on the market throughout the holidays and a sometimes slow beginning months of the year. If you are one of those people give me a call.
Have questions about your neighborhood or the current market trends? Share your thoughts in the comments below or reach out to me at [email protected]. To learn more about my selling process, download my exclusive seller guide here: The Insider’s Guide to Selling Your Home
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